Topic New Frontiers of Future
conflicts
Speaker Lt Gen DS Hooda,
PVSM, UYSM,
AVSM, VSM and Bar (Retd) , Air Marshal KS Gill,
PVSM, AVSM,
YSM, VM (G) ADC (Retd) , Prof Rakesh Datta Chair
General VP
Malik, PVSM, AVSM (Retd)
Punjab Campus of Chitkara
University (Rajpura
Road)
1. Gyan Chakra Think Tank conducted its annual
seminar
jointly in collaboration with Chitkara
University on 26 Apr
2019. The theme of the seminar was “New
Frontiers of Future
Conflicts” and it was held at the Punjab Campus
of Chitkara
University. The Seminar was attended by about 60
serving
military officers from HQ Western Command and
its
formations, about 40 veterans from the tri-city,
and about
200 faculty members and students of Chitkara
University.
Lieutenant General Surinder Singh, PVSM, AVSM
**, VSM, ADC,
GOC-in-C Western Command and Lieutenant General
PM Bali,
AVSM, VSM, Chief of Staff HQ Western Command
also graced the
occasion.
2. The Concept Note and the Program for the
Seminar are
attached. The panelists and their sub-themes
were as under:-
- Chair - Lieutenant General Vijay Oberoi,
PVSM, AVSM,
VSM, (retd) former Vice Chief of Army
Staff.
- Professor Rakesh Datta, former Chairman
of the
Department of Defence and National
Security Studies
and Member National security Advisory
Board spoke on
“Non-Military aspects of Future
Conflicts”.
- Air Marshal JS Chauhan, PVSM, AVSM, VSM
(retd),
former AOC-in-C Central Air Command
covered
“Aero-Space, Cyber Warfare, Artificial
Intelligence
and Allied Technologies”.
- Commodore BR Singh spoke on “Maritime
Dimensions of
Future Conflicts”.
- Lieutenant General DS Hooda, PVSM, UYSM,
AVSM, VSM**
(retd), former GOC-in-C Northern Command
covered
“Land Warfare, Information Warfare,
Perception
Management and Dilemmas of Decision
Making in Future
Conflicts”
Welcome Remarks
3. Colonel KK Sharma (retd), Prof and Dean of
Management
School in Chitkara University welcomed the
Speakers and
Defence Officers. An overview of Chitkara
University
ecosystem alongwith its global collaboration,
exchange
programmes and innovation, entrepreneurship
opportunities in
both the Campuses of Rajpura road Punjab and
Baddi, Himachal
Pradesh were brought out by Colonel Sharma.
4. Major General PJS Sandhu (Retd), Director Gyan
Chakra
welcomed all the panelists and participants for
the Seminar.
He also thanked Dr Ashok Chitkara, Chancellor
and Dr Madhu
Chitkara, Vice Chancellor of Chitkara University
and their
staff for the whole hearted support in making
the joint
seminar a reality. He also introduced the theme
of the
Seminar and briefly highlighted its importance.
Thereafter,
he introduced Lieutenant General Vijay Oberoi,
PVSM, AVSM,
VSM (retd), the Chairman and invited him to make
his Opening
Remarks and to conduct the proceedings.
Opening
Remarks by the Chair
5. Lieutenant General Oberoi highlighted the
changing nature
of warfare due to several factors, such as:
proliferation of
technology, economic development, globalization,
rise of
religious fundamentalism and terrorism.
Explaining Four
Generations of warfare (4GW) to the audience, he
brought out
that the theory of 4GW was reinvented again
after 9/11. He
also pointed out that in the present times; the
conflict was
largely between the state and non-state actors
who have
access to political, economic and social media
networks. He
felt that globalization seemed to have helped
non-state
actors more than the States.
Non-Military
aspects of Future Conflicts by Professor Rakesh
Datta
6. Professor Datta began with a quote from
Clausewitz “War is
a continuation of politics by other means” and
went on to
explain the relationship between causes of
conflicts and
geo-politics. Further, future conflicts would be
increasingly driven by geo-economics. Technology
which
steers war designs had shifted war from human
centric to
multi domain popularly called Unrestricted
Warfare.
7. Elections, as a worldwide phenomenon are
becoming biggest
non- military aspect of future conflicts
involving
abductions, killings, violence, foreign
manipulation, etc
resulting in uprisings, coups, regime change and
political
upmanship.
8. He pointed out that while India had been good
tactically,
it had been poor strategically. He further
emphasized that
future conflicts would involve the whole nation
and not only
the military; hence it was important to
sensitize the people
about conflict situations that may arise and
affect their
lives.
Aero-Space, Cyber Warfare,
Artificial
Intelligence and Allied Technologies by Air
Marshal JS
Chauhan, PVSM, AVSM, VSM (Retd), former AOC-in-C
Central Air
Command
9. Air Marshal Chauhan very briefly recapitulated
the
conventional capabilities of the Indian Air
Force, including
the air defence systems. With the launch of
dedicated Air
Force Communication Satellite GSAT-7A, the
Network Centric
Warfare capabilities had expanded manifold.
However, the
strength of our fighter squadrons remained the
main area of
concern. He went on to highlight the requirement
to develop
weapons and technologies to tackle future
conflict scenarios
of non-conventional or hybrid warfare. With
regard to
Pakistan, he felt that there was a need to be
pro-active to
deter them from their policy of bleeding India
by a thousand
cuts.
10. He identified ‘Space’ as the new area of
conflict. He
stressed on the need for an Aerospace Command in
the Indian
context. The Integrated Space Cell which was
formed under HQ
Integrated Defence Staff (IDS) in 2010 has only
a
coordinating role with the three Services, and
between the
Armed Forces, the Department of Space and Indian
Space
Research Organization (ISRO), and was not
sufficient. He
emphasized the need for establishing a full
fledged
Aerospace Command, sooner than later.
11. Another new frontier was the Cyber Warfare.
The
combination of an ongoing cyber warfare arms
race and lack
of clear rules of engagement governing online
conflicts
meant that small incidents could rapidly
escalate out of
control paralyzing an entire country. It has an
inbuilt
element of deniability. Cyber Warfare was
emerging as a
major threat to our fighting capabilities. The
USA had in
2017 upgraded their Cyber Command to the status
of a Unified
Combat Command. India was in the process of
setting up a
Defence Cyber Agency under HQ IDS which was a
welcome step.
He stressed the need for training adequate
number of people
in cyber warfare activities, commensurate with
our size and
national interests.
12. Finally, he highlighted the importance of
Artificial
Intelligence (AI) which was an emerging field
and a critical
part of modern warfare. He outlined various
military
applications where AI could be used; such as:
weapon
platforms, cyber security systems, target
acquisition and
recognition, simulations and wargames, threat
monitoring and
situational awareness, data information
processing etc. He
concluded by saying that India needed to invest
heavily in
developing technologies and organizations to
address the
emerging frontiers of future conflicts.
Maritime
Dimensions of Future Conflicts by Commodore BR
Singh
13. Commodore BR Singh gave an overview of the
maritime
challenges facing the Country and cautioned
against the
possibility of refugees or other undesirable
elements from
the Indian Ocean rim countries settling on some
of India’s
island territories. He also explained how
anti-piracy
operations in the Indian Ocean were driven by
economic
considerations rather than pure security
requirements. He
dwelt upon the Chinese strategy in the South
China Sea to
secure her claims by using hundreds of fishing
boats under
the shadow of PLA Navy and warned about the
possibility of
such tactics being extended to the Indian Ocean
using their
naval bases that they were in the process of
setting up.
India needed to develop capabilities to thwart
such attempts
at a future date.
Land Warfare,
Information
Warfare, Perception Management and Dilemmas of
Decision
Making in Future Conflicts by Lieutenant General
DS Hooda,
PVSM, UYSM, AVSM, VSM & Bar** (Retd), former
GOC-in-C
Northern Command
14. Lieutenant General Hooda began with a
regional
geo-political scan and identified threats to
India’s
security in the medium term. Thereafter, he
dwelt upon the
character of future wars as under:-
- Blurring of conventional and
sub-conventional
domains, of peace and war./li>
- No clearly defined combat zone.
- Increasingly influenced by political
context.
- Land forces will remain a primary
instrument, but
need ‘Whole of Government’ approach.
- Winning the peace versus winning the
war.
- Primacy of information in operations.
- Autonomous systems and AI.
15. Thereafter, he dealt with Information
warfare. The
salient points were:-
- Moved from disrupting physical systems
to
influencing perceptions.
- Centre of gravity is people’s minds -
win without
fighting.
- Can be conducted in peacetime - could be
aimed to
weaken national resolve, create doubts
or sow
discord.
- Transparency of operations due to social
media.
- Dilemma of narrative building in
internal conflicts.
16. While dealing with decision dilemmas, he
highlighted the
intrusion of politics in military decision
making and
influence of public perceptions which could
drive decisions.
He stressed the need for long term strategic
planning and
not resort to short term goals under the
influence of public
perceptions. He also highlighted the importance
of military
advice in arriving at strategic decisions.
17. The Chairman invited Lieutenant General
Harbhajan Singh,
PVSM (Retd), former SO-in-C Indian Army to make
brief
remarks on Information Warfare. General
Harbhajan Singh
while stressing the importance of Information
Warfare in
conflict situations made a reference to a book
titled Cyber
War 3.0 ‘Human Factors in Information Operations
and Future
Conflicts’ edited by Alan D Campen and Douglas H
Dearth from
compilation of AFCEA Fair Fax Virginia. He had
also
presented a paper on Information warfare in
National Defence
College and Higher Command College. He mentioned
that Indian
Army adopted the concept of net-centric warfare
after the
first US- Gulf War. It is an effective paradigm,
which is
required to be fully exploited in all future
conflicts.
Interactive Session
18. The interactive session was most stimulating
with active
participation by the audience, including the
faculty members
and students of Chitkara University. A gist of
the issues
raised and responses by the panelists is given
in the
succeeding paras.
19. Issues Raised:-
- As brought out we are tactically
excellent but when
it comes to Strategy or Grand strategy,
we are very
poor. What are these strategic issues
that we need
to focus on?
- Role of Technology is changing the
landscape; for
e.g. China is pushing 5G technology in
foreign
countries. What are your views on
geo-economics and
geopolitics affecting the security of
our nation?
- We have seen resurgence of terrorism in
South
Kashmir as we seem to have failed in
perception
management. What are the possible
remedial measures?
20. Responses by Panelists:-
- Grand strategy is for the Govt to
prepare from which
National Policy flows down. Strategy is
not confined
to Military but to everything viz.
Economics,
Commerce, Water, Energy, Security etc.
However, our
political body has not been able to
frame any Grand
Strategy for the Nation.
- Technology is definitely changing the
world. Today,
we can see that our daily life is
dependent on it.
It is known that almost every hardware
in cyber
domain is of Chinese origin and most of
the software
is also of foreign origin. This needs to
be remedied
at the earliest to secure our country
from Cyber
Threats.
- Resurgence of terrorism has been seen
from the year
2014 onwards, when army began projecting
a muscular
image which brought in more alienation
to Kashmir.
Funerals during this period became
recruitment
grounds. All this gave a message that we
were at war
with our own people. We also lack a
credible
rehabilitation policy for surrendered
militants till
today. Therefore, we need to change the
way we are
dealing with terrorism in Kashmir.
21. Issues Raised:-
- In our country a lot of research work
goes on in
subjects like engineering etc. What is
the extent of
research in defence and security
matters?
- Do you think removal of article 370/ 35A
will
resolve Kashmir problem?
- 88.6 per cent people live below a
monthly income of
Rs 10,000/-. what is the security status
of these
people?
- Our society is fragmented in caste,
religion and
sects, etc. When we discuss future, we
do not need
anyone else to divide us. Lt Gen DS
Hooda gave a
draft Security Strategy to The Congress
President.
Sir, did your Security Strategy cater
for this kind
of issues?
22. Responses by Panelists:-
- Security is a buzz word now a days. Govt
wants to
employ army in every civil task. Though
Defence
Studies began in Punjabi University
Patiala in 1954
and Punjab University in 2001 but the
subject has
not picked up. There are not enough
colleges
offering such curriculum. Private
universities like
the Chitkara University may consider
including the
subject of Defence and National Security
Studies in
the programmes being offered by them.
- Removal of article 370/ 35A was not
relevant to the
topic of the day; hence not discussed
further.
- Security status of people below an
income of Rs
10,000/- per month does not seem to be
the focus of
the Govt. In the ongoing election
season, coming to
power seems to bethe main issue.
23. Issues raised:-
- What is your slogan for the new
generations to
motivate them to join Army as we have
seen decline
in the intake of the Defence Forces?
- What is the role of media in New
Frontiers of Future
Conflicts? Is the present kind of
freedom of media
justified?
- The US and China are the main promoters
of
Artificial Intelligence. China is having
nurseries
of technology which provide intake for
Universities
and professionals who are directly
picked up by the
Govt from there. How can we go further
on this?
- Presently youth power is captured by
apps like PUBG
etc. How can app technology be used in
‘New
Frontiers of Future Conflicts’.
- How can the civil society help the
nation in ‘New
Frontiers of Future Conflicts’?
24. Responses by Panelists:-
- Former Prime Minister, Late Shri Lal
Bahadur Shastri
had given an apt slogan to the Country –
“Jai Jawan
Jai Kisan”.
- There is a requirement of regulations
and legal
framework to streamline all kinds of
media. There is
a dark side of Social Media too. The
responsibility
of the youth in handling media is
extremely
important as they are he biggest users
of Social
Media and apps technology.
- It was brought out that Artificial
Intelligence,
Cyber Warfare, Information Warfare; all
these
technologies were civil driven. However,
no research
and development in the country was
taking place as
of now in this sector.
- It is a good thinking ‘what should we do
for the
Country?’ We need to consolidate
ourselves and
contribute in the progress of country.
Civil society
can contribute to nation building by
being aware of
happenings around us, being role model
in any
student comity and in civil society.
Concluding Remarks by The
Chair
25. Lt Gen Vijay Oberoi, PVSM, AVSM, VSM (Retd)
thanked all
the panelists for their excellent presentations.
Thereafter,
he presented the various facets of New Frontiers
of Future
Conflicts covering Network Centric Warfare,
Information
Warfare, Hybrid Warfare, Asymmetric Warfare,
Unrestricted
Warfare etc. Unrestricted War is continuous
conflict wherein
all dimensions of space are considered the
battleground and
it does not follow any rules. He stated that
answers to
fight in ‘New Frontiers of Future Conflicts’
lies within and
brought out that in the Army we always follow
‘Back to
Basics’ approach. He flashed the quote by Sun
¬¬¬¬¬¬Tzu to
emphasise his point.
“ Water shapes its course according to the
ground over
which it flows, the soldier works out his
victory in
relation to the foe whom he is fighting”.
Closing Address by the GOC-in-C Western
Command
26. The Army Commander stressed that the country
with larger
resources and excelling in innovations would
emerge as the
winner. He cited the example of the USA which
maintains its
superpower status based on these two
ingredients. In the
Indian context, he mentioned that our Country
was lagging
behind in food availability and infrastructure.
Hence, there
was a need to have a Grand Strategy and define
long term
goals to transform India into a developed
country. If we
focus on economic development, other problems
like
insurgencies or social unrest will over a period
of time
fade away. In the end, he complimented and
thanked Chitkara
University for having collaborated whole
heartedly for
making the joint seminar a great success.
Presentation of Mementoes and Honouring the
Guests
27. Major General Sandhu requested the Army
Commander to
present a Gyan Chakra memento which was received
by Dr Ashok
Chitkara and Dr Madhu Chitkara on behalf of
Chitkara
University. Dr Ashok Citkara and Dr Madhu
Chitkara also
presented their University memento which was
received by
Major General Sandhu, the Director on behalf of
Gyan Chakra.
Thereafter, Dr Ashok Chitkara and Dr Madhu
Chitkara honoured
the Army Commander, the Chief of Staff, The
Chair, all the
panelists and Director Gyan Chakra with scarves
and token
gifts to convey their appreciation.
Vote of
Thanks
28. Colonel KK Sharma (Retd), Professor and Dean
of Chikara
University delivered the Vote of Thanks and
acknowledged the
work done by all concerned for setting up and
organizing the
first joint effort between Gyan Chakra and
Chitkara
University. He invited all the serving officers
and veterans
attending the seminar to proceed for lunch which
had been
organized by kind courtesy Chitkara University.